Deportivo Alavés C vs SCD Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
38.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
6º
16º
9º
4
2º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
4 | 65 |
1º
|
26% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 63 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 59 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 59 |
4º
|
8% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 57 |
5º
|
9.5% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 56 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
4 | 56 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 53 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
3 | 49 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 47 |
10º
|
6% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 45 |
11º
|
7% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 42 |
12º
|
8% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 38 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
2º
|
4 | 38 |
14º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 36 |
15º
|
10.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 32 |
16º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 31 |
17º
|
20.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 18 |
18º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 4.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
19% | 38% |
|
Mid-table
|
71% | 55.5% |
|
Relegation
|
7.5% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
DAC
1 - 0
LON
43%
24%
32%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CDP
2 - 1
DAC
31%
24%
45%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
UDM
3 - 2
DAC
55%
21%
24%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
SJU
0 - 0
DAC
55%
23%
23%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
NAX
0 - 3
DAC
54%
22%
25%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
SCD Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SNT
1 - 1
CDU
23%
23%
54%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CDU
2 - 0
BEA
39%
25%
36%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CDU
2 - 3
CDT
58%
22%
21%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 2
CDU
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
CDU
3 - 0
BEA
28%
25%
47%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +2 |