Alashkert II vs BKMA II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
71%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
9º
12º
11º
69
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
4º
|
91% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
91% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
80% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alashkert II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ALA
4 - 1
LAR
36%
21%
44%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
SYU
5 - 0
ALA
79%
14%
7%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 2
ARA
10%
18%
72%
|
30 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
BKM
2 - 1
ALA
84%
11%
5%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ALA
2 - 2
SHI
52%
21%
27%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
BKMA II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SYU
1 - 5
BKM
34%
25%
41%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
BKM
3 - 1
SHI
81%
13%
6%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
BAN
1 - 1
BKM
32%
24%
44%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
BKM
2 - 1
ALA
84%
11%
5%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BKM
2 - 3
PYU
54%
23%
24%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |