Alashkert II vs Ararat II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.8%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
74.8%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
9º
12º
11º
57
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
4º
|
91% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
91% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
80% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alashkert II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2022 |
WAR
5 - 0
ALA
79%
14%
7%
|
30 | 60 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 3
MIK
16%
21%
63%
|
31 | 59 | 28 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
GAN
9 - 0
ALA
77%
16%
7%
|
31 | 60 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 3
BKM
12%
18%
71%
|
32 | 54 | 22 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ALA
4 - 1
LAR
36%
21%
44%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +4 |
Matches
Ararat II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
SYU
1 - 3
ARA
29%
24%
48%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2022 |
ARA
2 - 1
SHI
86%
10%
4%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
BAN
1 - 2
ARA
34%
24%
42%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 4
PYU
54%
22%
25%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
LAR
0 - 2
ARA
11%
17%
72%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |