Alashkert vs Lernayin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
24.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
1º
4º
4º
22
4º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alashkert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 1
ALA
31%
26%
43%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
ALA
5 - 0
NOA
49%
27%
24%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
WAR
1 - 4
ALA
36%
23%
41%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PYU
5 - 1
ALA
38%
28%
34%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 0
VAN
59%
25%
16%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lernayin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
LER
0 - 0
NOA
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
VAN
1 - 1
LER
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
LER
1 - 3
VAN
50%
23%
27%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SHI
1 - 2
LER
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LER
0 - 1
AVA
36%
29%
35%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |