Alashkert vs Ararat-Armenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
30.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
1º
4º
4º
76
1º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alashkert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
LER
0 - 1
ALA
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
ALA
2 - 0
ARA
46%
28%
27%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
NOA
3 - 4
ALA
42%
28%
31%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
HAM
4 - 1
ALA
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -2 |
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 0
HAM
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ararat-Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 2
AVA
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
BAN
1 - 0
AVA
36%
29%
35%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
PAI
0 - 0
AVA
65%
18%
17%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
AVA
0 - 0
PAI
42%
24%
34%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 1
AVA
42%
27%
32%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |