Qualif. Champions Segunda Ronda Final
Global 1-3
Alashkert vs Dinamo Tbilisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
39.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alashkert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2016 |
DTB
2 - 0
ALA
61%
20%
19%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2016 |
ALA
3 - 0
SCO
49%
23%
28%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2016 |
SCO
0 - 0
ALA
33%
25%
43%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
MIK
0 - 2
ALA
31%
27%
42%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
ALA
2 - 3
SHI
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2016 |
DTB
2 - 0
ALA
61%
20%
19%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2016 |
DTB
0 - 2
DYN
39%
24%
37%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2016 |
LAS
2 - 0
DTB
29%
24%
47%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2016 |
MAC
0 - 2
DTB
43%
26%
32%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2016 |
WAR
1 - 1
DTB
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |