Alashkert vs Ararat Yerevan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
22.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
1º
4º
4º
37
3º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alashkert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2022 |
NOA
3 - 2
ALA
27%
27%
47%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
GAN
0 - 0
ALA
26%
24%
51%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 2
PYU
38%
28%
34%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
VAN
1 - 0
ALA
25%
26%
49%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 0
BAN
41%
28%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ararat Yerevan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
PYU
2 - 0
ARA
52%
26%
21%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
BAN
2 - 1
ARA
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 0
LER
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ARA
2 - 1
NOA
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
VAN
0 - 2
ARA
44%
27%
30%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |