Alas Portuarias vs Puerto Montt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.4%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
73.3%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
PUE
0 - 0
GVE
41%
28%
31%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
TRA
2 - 3
PUE
23%
27%
50%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
PUE
0 - 1
SAU
47%
27%
26%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
LAU
2 - 1
PUE
32%
27%
41%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
PUE
1 - 0
CDP
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |