Alanyaspor vs Trabzonspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
7º
16º
9º
26
8º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 79 |
1º
|
70% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 75 |
2º
|
65.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 60 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 59 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 55 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 54 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 53 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 53 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
28 | 52 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 50 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 49 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 46 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 45 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 44 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 42 |
15º
|
17% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 36 |
16º
|
29% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 32 |
17º
|
26% | |
|
19º
|
5 | 32 |
18º
|
30% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 25 |
19º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
3% | 1.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
8% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
88% | 95.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alanyaspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 1
ALA
46%
25%
29%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
BOD
0 - 0
ALA
31%
26%
43%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 2
ANT
59%
22%
20%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 2
KAS
54%
22%
24%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
ALA
0 - 2
HUL
70%
17%
13%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Trabzonspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2024 |
TRA
5 - 0
ADA
48%
24%
28%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
RIZ
3 - 1
TRA
38%
25%
37%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
TRA
2 - 3
FEN
46%
24%
30%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
GOZ
2 - 1
TRA
39%
25%
36%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
TRA
1 - 0
IST
52%
24%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |