Alanyaspor vs Hatayspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
13.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
7º
16º
9º
10
13º
18º
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 81 |
1º
|
65% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 78 |
2º
|
62% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 62 |
3º
|
42.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 61 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 56 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 56 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 55 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 54 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
|
9º
|
28 | 49 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 48 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 48 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 45 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 44 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 44 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 41 |
15º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 38 |
16º
|
25.5% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 32 |
17º
|
26% | |
|
19º
|
5 | 30 |
18º
|
40% | |
|
|
18º
|
10 | 25 |
19º
|
71.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alanyaspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
FEN
3 - 0
ALA
57%
21%
22%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 1
GOZ
62%
20%
18%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
IST
4 - 2
ALA
49%
25%
26%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 1
EYU
63%
20%
17%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 1
ANT
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Hatayspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HAT
0 - 3
SAM
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ANT
3 - 2
HAT
57%
24%
20%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
HAT
1 - 1
KAS
32%
25%
43%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
GAL
2 - 1
HAT
71%
17%
12%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
HAT
2 - 0
RIZ
34%
25%
41%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |