Alanya Kestelspor vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
11%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+87%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
3º
12º
4º
43
3º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alanya Kestelspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
AFK
0 - 3
AKS
29%
25%
46%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
AKS
4 - 2
SGS
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ANK
1 - 3
AKS
31%
26%
43%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
SUL
1 - 1
AKS
19%
24%
57%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
AKS
2 - 0
SIO
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
TBP
2 - 2
MUS
25%
26%
50%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ELA
3 - 2
TBP
55%
21%
25%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
TBP
1 - 0
NSG
26%
25%
50%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +3 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
TBP
1 - 0
CAT
29%
24%
48%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +3 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
BUR
3 - 2
TBP
62%
22%
16%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |