Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Mordovia Saransk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
25.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
YAR
0 - 1
ALA
50%
27%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
NIZ
2 - 0
ALA
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
ALA
1 - 1
SIB
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2012 |
TOR
0 - 1
ALA
38%
28%
34%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2011 |
KAM
2 - 0
ALA
41%
29%
31%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Mordovia Saransk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
MOR
3 - 1
NIZ
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
SIB
2 - 1
MOR
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
MOR
2 - 0
TOR
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2012 |
URA
1 - 1
MOR
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2011 |
MOR
3 - 4
VOL
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -2 |