Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Mordovia Saransk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
9.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
ALA
2 - 1
KAM
33%
27%
41%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
TOR
3 - 1
ALA
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2007 |
BAL
1 - 1
ALA
43%
26%
32%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2007 |
ALA
0 - 1
URA
32%
26%
43%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2007 |
ALA
3 - 0
SRY
77%
15%
8%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Mordovia Saransk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
MAS
5 - 2
MOR
59%
23%
19%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
MOR
1 - 3
YAR
19%
28%
53%
|
45 | 71 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2007 |
MOR
2 - 1
TEK
38%
28%
34%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2007 |
NOS
3 - 0
MOR
60%
24%
16%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2007 |
SST
3 - 0
MOR
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |