Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Lokomotiv Nizhny Novgorod analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
9.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1999 |
TOR
1 - 1
ALA
43%
26%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
ALA
3 - 1
FCR
62%
22%
17%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1999 |
ROT
0 - 2
ALA
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
ALA
0 - 1
CSK
45%
26%
30%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
ALA
0 - 1
SPA
38%
25%
37%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Nizhny Novgorod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1999 |
LNN
3 - 0
KRS
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
DIN
2 - 1
LNN
79%
15%
6%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1999 |
LNN
0 - 0
LOK
17%
26%
57%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
ZHE
1 - 1
LNN
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
LNN
0 - 1
SAT
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |