Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs KamAZ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
14.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
6º
16º
8º
11
11º
17º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
15 | 63 |
1º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 60 |
2º
|
21% | |
|
1º
|
22 | 59 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 58 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 56 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 53 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 51 |
7º
|
6% | |
|
|
16º
|
9 | 45 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 45 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 44 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 44 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 40 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
11 | 38 |
13º
|
6.5% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 38 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 38 |
15º
|
11% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 36 |
16º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 35 |
17º
|
12% | |
|
18º
|
5 | 31 |
18º
|
37.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
6% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
79.5% | 64% |
|
Relegation
|
12.5% | 35.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 1
SOC
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
URA
3 - 1
ALA
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
YAR
1 - 0
ALA
27%
27%
46%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ARS
0 - 0
ALA
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ALA
0 - 1
YEN
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
KamAZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
KAM
0 - 1
CHE
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
KAM
0 - 0
NEF
37%
28%
35%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 0
KAM
65%
23%
12%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
KAM
3 - 0
SKA
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
KAM
1 - 1
TOR
29%
27%
44%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |