Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Gornyak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
9.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
ALA
0 - 0
FCR
36%
28%
36%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
SIB
1 - 2
ALA
55%
25%
21%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
CSK
2 - 1
ALA
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
ALA
0 - 0
ANZ
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
PER
1 - 0
ALA
56%
26%
18%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Gornyak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
FCC
3 - 3
GUC
39%
27%
33%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2010 |
GAZ
1 - 0
GUC
52%
26%
22%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
GUC
1 - 0
TYU
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2010 |
SGI
2 - 1
GUC
34%
27%
39%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
GUC
1 - 0
RUB
81%
14%
5%
|
49 | 19 | 30 | 0 |