Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Chernomorets Novorossisk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
61.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
27%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
VOL
1 - 0
ALA
73%
18%
9%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
ALA
0 - 1
PKU
13%
21%
66%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
KRA
3 - 3
ALA
44%
22%
34%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
AKA
0 - 2
ALA
41%
23%
37%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ALA
1 - 0
LEG
32%
27%
42%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
CHE
5 - 0
DIN
79%
15%
7%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
DMA
0 - 1
CHE
23%
25%
52%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
CHE
2 - 2
CHA
37%
29%
34%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
BIO
0 - 1
CHE
19%
25%
56%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
CHE
1 - 0
ANG
82%
13%
5%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |