Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Chernomorets Novorossisk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
30.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
ALA
2 - 0
FKM
53%
24%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
ALA
1 - 1
KRS
31%
27%
42%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
CSK
3 - 0
ALA
79%
15%
7%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
ZEN
2 - 1
ALA
69%
20%
11%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
ALA
0 - 0
TOR
28%
26%
46%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
FCR
0 - 2
CHE
55%
24%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
CHE
0 - 1
SAT
36%
28%
36%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2003 |
LOK
1 - 0
CHE
71%
19%
10%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
FCR
3 - 1
CHE
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
CHE
0 - 1
DIN
38%
26%
35%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |