Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Chernomorets Novorossisk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
17.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2000 |
SAT
2 - 0
ALA
34%
26%
40%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
ALA
0 - 1
DIN
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
LNN
1 - 1
ALA
27%
26%
47%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
ALA
2 - 3
ANZ
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2000 |
ROT
2 - 1
ALA
56%
22%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2000 |
CHE
1 - 2
FCR
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
ZEN
0 - 0
CHE
49%
27%
24%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
CHE
1 - 0
TOR
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
CSK
0 - 3
CHE
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2000 |
SAT
0 - 0
CHE
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |