Alania Vladikavkaz II vs Spartak Nalchik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
67.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
11º
16º
17º
26
2º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 66 |
1º
|
72.5% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 62 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 61 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 59 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 54 |
5º
|
26.5% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 53 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 51 |
7º
|
30.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 46 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 45 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 41 |
10º
|
28% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 38 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 37 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 34 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 34 |
14º
|
32% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 30 |
15º
|
54.5% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 21 |
16º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
13 | 17 |
17º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alania Vladikavkaz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 3
SKC
20%
22%
59%
|
17 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
FKP
2 - 0
ALA
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ALA
0 - 2
DIN
9%
18%
73%
|
18 | 46 | 28 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FKK
0 - 0
ALA
85%
11%
4%
|
18 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ALA
2 - 3
AST
19%
19%
62%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Nalchik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
DMA
1 - 0
NAL
44%
25%
31%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
NAL
2 - 5
NCH
38%
25%
37%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
LEG
2 - 1
NAL
53%
25%
22%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
NAL
0 - 1
DIN
31%
25%
44%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
NAL
2 - 1
BIO
43%
26%
31%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |