Alania Vladikavkaz II vs Spartak Nalchik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.4%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
73.6%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.2%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.7%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-57%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
3º
5º
5º
32
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 18 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 12 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
32 | 12 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 7 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
11 | 6 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 3 |
7º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alania Vladikavkaz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2023 |
MAS
4 - 2
ALA
76%
15%
9%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
ALA
0 - 2
LEG
15%
18%
67%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
DIN
1 - 2
ALA
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 3
SKA
10%
16%
74%
|
18 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
DMA
1 - 2
ALA
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Nalchik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
NAL
4 - 0
MAS
66%
20%
14%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
LEG
2 - 0
NAL
25%
27%
49%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -2 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
NAL
2 - 1
DIN
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
SKA
3 - 1
NAL
40%
27%
34%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
NAL
5 - 1
DMA
57%
25%
18%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |