Alania Vladikavkaz II vs Spartak Nalchik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.4%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
73.6%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.2%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.7%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-54%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
3º
5º
5º
32
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 18 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 12 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
32 | 12 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 7 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
11 | 6 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 3 |
7º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alania Vladikavkaz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2023 |
MAS
4 - 2
ALA
76%
15%
9%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
ALA
0 - 2
LEG
15%
18%
67%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
DIN
1 - 2
ALA
85%
10%
5%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 3
SKA
10%
16%
74%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
DMA
1 - 2
ALA
85%
10%
5%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Spartak Nalchik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
NAL
4 - 0
MAS
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
LEG
2 - 0
NAL
25%
27%
49%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -3 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
NAL
2 - 1
DIN
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
SKA
3 - 1
NAL
40%
27%
34%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
NAL
5 - 1
DMA
57%
25%
18%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |