Alania Vladikavkaz II vs Rubin Yalta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
52.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+451%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
11º
16º
16º
64
2º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 60 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 14 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alania Vladikavkaz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
ANG
2 - 0
ALA
74%
17%
10%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2024 |
ALA
2 - 2
DMA
23%
21%
55%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
NCH
1 - 0
ALA
86%
10%
5%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
ALA
0 - 7
LEG
17%
19%
65%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
NAL
0 - 0
ALA
79%
14%
8%
|
17 | 43 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Rubin Yalta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
RUB
0 - 0
ANG
27%
22%
51%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
DMA
3 - 0
RUB
60%
20%
20%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2024 |
RUB
3 - 0
NCH
15%
17%
68%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | +6 |
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
LEG
2 - 1
RUB
73%
16%
10%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
RUB
2 - 1
NAL
13%
18%
69%
|
18 | 43 | 25 | +4 |