Alania Vladikavkaz II vs Legion Makhachkala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
64.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
11º
16º
16º
24
2º
13º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
27 | 63 |
1º
|
52.5% | |
|
1º
|
29 | 57 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
|
5º
|
24 | 53 |
3º
|
7.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 53 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 52 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 51 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 50 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 47 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 47 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 46 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 46 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 43 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 43 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 37 |
14º
|
20.5% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 33 |
15º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
9 | 20 |
16º
|
53.5% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 17 |
17º
|
57.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 8.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
5.5% | 91.5% |
|
Relegation
|
94.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alania Vladikavkaz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2024 |
NAL
0 - 0
ALA
79%
14%
8%
|
16 | 43 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
BIO
4 - 0
ALA
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 2
SKS
25%
20%
55%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SKC
4 - 0
ALA
83%
11%
6%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ALA
3 - 2
FKP
18%
19%
64%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | +3 |
Matches
Legion Makhachkala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2024 |
LEG
0 - 1
ANG
61%
23%
16%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
DMA
0 - 2
LEG
32%
26%
42%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LEG
1 - 1
NCH
35%
26%
39%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
AST
1 - 0
LEG
36%
26%
39%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
NAL
1 - 2
LEG
37%
27%
36%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |