Alania Vladikavkaz II vs FC Kuban Holding analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
70.6%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
11º
16º
16º
16
6º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 63 |
1º
|
51% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 57 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 55 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 55 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 53 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 51 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 49 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 47 |
8º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 47 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 47 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
|
13º
|
16 | 44 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 44 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 40 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 36 |
14º
|
26% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 33 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
|
16º
|
9 | 18 |
16º
|
59% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 14 |
17º
|
67.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
8.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
91.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alania Vladikavkaz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
AST
2 - 1
ALA
82%
12%
6%
|
13 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 7
ROS
61%
18%
21%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
DDA
0 - 0
ALA
81%
12%
7%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ALA
3 - 5
FOT
14%
17%
69%
|
15 | 46 | 31 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 5
NAL
11%
16%
74%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
FC Kuban Holding
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
FKK
0 - 1
NAL
55%
23%
21%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FKK
1 - 1
ANG
70%
19%
11%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
DMA
1 - 2
FKK
26%
25%
49%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
FKK
2 - 2
NCH
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
LEG
2 - 1
FKK
31%
26%
43%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |