Alania Vladikavkaz II vs FC Kuban Holding analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.7%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
75.7%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
7º
14º
13º
42
2º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
77% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
77% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
7º
|
92% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
92% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
92% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alania Vladikavkaz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
BIO
1 - 0
ALA
91%
6%
2%
|
16 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 3
ROT
6%
15%
79%
|
17 | 54 | 37 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
NAL
0 - 0
ALA
83%
12%
5%
|
16 | 44 | 28 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 6
FOT
9%
15%
77%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
ETK
0 - 3
ALA
30%
21%
50%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FC Kuban Holding
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
MAS
1 - 1
FKK
15%
20%
65%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
FKK
0 - 3
AVA
49%
23%
28%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
KHI
3 - 4
FKK
17%
20%
63%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
PKU
2 - 1
FKK
67%
18%
14%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
FKK
1 - 2
BIO
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |