Alania Vladikavkaz II vs Forte Taganrog analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
69.2%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
11º
16º
16º
30
1º
10º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
30 | 63 |
1º
|
51% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 57 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 55 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 55 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 53 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 51 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 49 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 47 |
8º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 47 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 47 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 44 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 44 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 40 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 36 |
14º
|
26% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 33 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
|
16º
|
9 | 18 |
16º
|
59% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 14 |
17º
|
67.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 51% |
|
Mid-table
|
8.5% | 49% |
|
Relegation
|
91.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alania Vladikavkaz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 5
NAL
11%
16%
74%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
MAS
4 - 2
ALA
76%
15%
9%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
ALA
0 - 2
LEG
15%
18%
67%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
DIN
1 - 2
ALA
85%
10%
5%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 3
SKA
10%
16%
74%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Forte Taganrog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
FOT
3 - 0
FDC
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 11 | 35 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
FOT
1 - 0
DVO
57%
22%
22%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
FOT
2 - 2
FCO
35%
24%
41%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
FOT
0 - 3
AVA
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
FOT
1 - 1
AST
63%
20%
17%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |