Alania Vladikavkaz II vs Essentuki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.7%
Win probability
3.29
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.8%
5.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
7º
14º
13º
5
7º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
77% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
77% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
7º
|
92% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
92% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
92% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
5 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alania Vladikavkaz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 0
ALA
89%
9%
2%
|
20 | 54 | 34 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
ALA
2 - 2
SKA
7%
16%
77%
|
19 | 51 | 32 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 4
FOT
10%
15%
75%
|
20 | 46 | 26 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
FKK
5 - 0
ALA
85%
12%
4%
|
20 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 2
DMA
28%
22%
50%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Essentuki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
ETK
0 - 1
FKK
6%
15%
79%
|
13 | 49 | 36 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
BIO
2 - 0
ETK
91%
7%
3%
|
13 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
BIO
3 - 1
ETK
90%
8%
3%
|
14 | 37 | 23 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2022 |
ETK
0 - 6
CHE
6%
14%
80%
|
15 | 49 | 34 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2022 |
DIN
3 - 1
ETK
87%
9%
4%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |