Alania Vladikavkaz II vs Dynamo Makhachkala II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.6%
45.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
11º
16º
17º
13
11º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 66 |
1º
|
72.5% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 62 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 61 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 59 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 54 |
5º
|
26.5% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 53 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 51 |
7º
|
30.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 46 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 45 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 41 |
10º
|
28% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 38 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 37 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 34 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 34 |
14º
|
32% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 30 |
15º
|
54.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
13 | 21 |
16º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
13 | 17 |
17º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 6.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 93.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alania Vladikavkaz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FOT
6 - 0
ALA
73%
17%
9%
|
18 | 49 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 0
RUB
27%
21%
52%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
ANG
2 - 0
ALA
74%
17%
10%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2024 |
ALA
2 - 2
DMA
23%
21%
55%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | +2 |
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
NCH
1 - 0
ALA
86%
10%
5%
|
15 | 42 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Dynamo Makhachkala II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
DDA
0 - 0
ANG
25%
22%
53%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
NCH
0 - 2
DDA
77%
13%
9%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | +2 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
DDA
0 - 4
LEG
17%
19%
63%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
NAL
2 - 0
DDA
67%
18%
15%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2024 |
DDA
1 - 2
BIO
24%
22%
54%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |