Alania Vladikavkaz II vs Chernomorets Novorossisk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.6%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.5%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
80.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
16.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.3%
0-3
13%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
17.2%
0-4
7.8%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
7º
14º
13º
63
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
77% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
77% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
7º
|
92% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
92% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
92% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alania Vladikavkaz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LEG
1 - 1
ALA
78%
14%
7%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 3
DMA
25%
22%
54%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ALA
2 - 4
MAS
20%
20%
60%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FKK
2 - 0
ALA
88%
8%
4%
|
18 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 1
BIO
11%
16%
73%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
CHE
0 - 1
YEN
16%
19%
65%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CHE
3 - 0
FKK
55%
23%
21%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
BIO
1 - 2
CHE
20%
22%
58%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CHE
0 - 0
ROT
35%
26%
40%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
DIN
1 - 2
CHE
15%
20%
65%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | +1 |