Alania Vladikavkaz II vs Chernomorets Novorossisk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
50.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alania Vladikavkaz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
FCK
2 - 4
ALA
66%
20%
14%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
ALA
1 - 1
TER
62%
20%
18%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
DAG
3 - 0
ALA
58%
23%
19%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2013 |
ALA
1 - 2
BIO
45%
25%
30%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2013 |
MIT
1 - 0
ALA
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
CHE
3 - 0
TOR
57%
25%
18%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
DMA
0 - 2
CHE
20%
27%
54%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
CHE
2 - 0
FCO
74%
18%
8%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2013 |
FKT
2 - 1
CHE
28%
28%
45%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2013 |
CHE
1 - 1
VOL
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |