Alange CD vs UD Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
43.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+146%
+63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alange CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ALV
3 - 1
ALA
72%
15%
13%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ALA
0 - 2
TRU
20%
19%
61%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
BAR
7 - 0
ALA
84%
10%
5%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 3
EME
13%
17%
70%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CDZ
3 - 2
ALA
75%
14%
11%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
UD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
PUL
0 - 5
MET
30%
21%
49%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CDZ
6 - 0
PUL
37%
22%
41%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
MET
0 - 1
PUL
21%
20%
59%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
PUL
1 - 1
BAR
30%
22%
48%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
ROC
2 - 1
PUL
40%
21%
39%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -2 |