El Álamo vs RCD Carabanchel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
41.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
8º
18º
18º
22
12º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 73 |
1º
|
82% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 65 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 62 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 59 |
4º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 57 |
5º
|
26% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 57 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 52 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 49 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 48 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 45 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 41 |
12º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 41 |
13º
|
17% | |
|
|
14º
|
22 | 37 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 28 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 27 |
16º
|
26% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 26 |
17º
|
29% | |
|
|
18º
|
14 | 26 |
18º
|
32% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
24% | 91.5% |
|
Relegation
|
76% | 7.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Álamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CPO
2 - 0
ALA
56%
22%
22%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CVI
2 - 1
ALA
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ALA
0 - 0
GAL
30%
24%
46%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
ALA
0 - 3
PAR
45%
23%
32%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 2
ALA
33%
25%
42%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
RCD Carabanchel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
CVI
33%
25%
43%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
GAL
1 - 0
CAR
64%
19%
17%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 1
VAL
42%
25%
34%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 2
TRJ
29%
24%
47%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
MOS
0 - 2
CAR
24%
23%
54%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |