El Álamo vs Alcorcón B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
64.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
8º
18º
17º
26
4º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 75 |
1º
|
86.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 65 |
2º
|
37% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 62 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 60 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 56 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 55 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 52 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 52 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 50 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 48 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 47 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 40 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 37 |
14º
|
24.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 29 |
15º
|
22% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 27 |
16º
|
20% | |
|
|
17º
|
14 | 26 |
17º
|
29% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 24 |
18º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
30% | 94.5% |
|
Relegation
|
70% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Álamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
TRJ
3 - 2
ALA
63%
22%
16%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ALA
0 - 1
ALC
16%
22%
63%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
RVB
5 - 0
ALA
66%
18%
16%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ALA
0 - 4
LEG
15%
21%
63%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
TRC
2 - 1
ALA
64%
20%
16%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Alcorcón B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
ALC
1 - 2
CVI
51%
24%
24%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
GAL
0 - 1
ALC
41%
23%
36%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ALC
1 - 2
VAL
55%
24%
21%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ARA
2 - 2
ALC
27%
24%
49%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ALC
1 - 1
MEX
64%
21%
15%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |