LD Alajuelense vs Sporting FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
6º
3º
32
6º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 15 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2023 |
LDA
1 - 0
CSH
47%
26%
28%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CSH
3 - 0
LDA
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
LDA
3 - 4
GUA
67%
21%
13%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2023 |
PFC
1 - 2
LDA
21%
25%
54%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
LDA
2 - 0
SAP
45%
24%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CSH
3 - 0
SPO
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 1
CSC
32%
26%
42%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 0
SAN
51%
25%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
PFC
4 - 0
SPO
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SPO
4 - 0
PER
65%
21%
15%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |