LD Alajuelense vs San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
4º
2º
26
2º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
PER
1 - 2
LDA
21%
26%
54%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
SPO
0 - 0
LDA
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
LDA
3 - 3
MUN
73%
18%
9%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 1
LDA
31%
26%
43%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
SAP
3 - 1
LDA
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 1
EBC
61%
19%
20%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
CSC
32%
25%
43%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
SAN
25%
27%
48%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 0
SAN
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
SAN
3 - 0
GRE
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |