LD Alajuelense vs San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
20.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2011 |
LDA
4 - 1
BFC
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 2
LDA
29%
28%
43%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ORI
1 - 2
LDA
18%
25%
56%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
LDA
1 - 1
CSH
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
BFC
3 - 0
LDA
43%
27%
31%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAN
62%
23%
15%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 1
CSH
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
BFC
3 - 3
SAN
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
ORI
75%
18%
8%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAN
38%
29%
34%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |