Clausura Costa Rica Semi-finals
Global 2-3
LD Alajuelense vs San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
16.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2010 |
LDA
3 - 2
PFC
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2010 |
PFC
1 - 2
LDA
36%
28%
36%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
LDA
2 - 0
CSC
55%
26%
19%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
PER
1 - 0
LDA
36%
28%
37%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
MUN
1 - 2
LDA
40%
27%
34%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 1
ORI
74%
19%
8%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
RAM
0 - 0
SAN
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
CSH
2 - 1
SAN
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 0
BFC
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
PFC
2 - 2
SAN
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |