LD Alajuelense vs San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
ADB
0 - 3
LDA
29%
26%
46%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
LDA
3 - 1
OSA
82%
13%
5%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
SAP
0 - 1
LDA
57%
22%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2001 |
PER
2 - 2
LDA
23%
25%
52%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
LDA
2 - 0
MUN
80%
14%
7%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2001 |
OSA
1 - 1
SAN
31%
25%
44%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
SAN
3 - 1
SAN
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2001 |
SAN
5 - 2
ADB
52%
23%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
ADC
2 - 1
SAN
39%
25%
36%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2001 |
SAN
1 - 4
SAP
34%
25%
41%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |