CONCACAF League Semi-finals
Global 5-2
LD Alajuelense vs Real España analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
LDA
0 - 0
SAP
47%
26%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
RES
0 - 3
LDA
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
LDA
4 - 3
GRE
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
CSC
1 - 2
LDA
33%
27%
40%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 0
LDA
31%
27%
42%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
RES
1 - 3
RSO
76%
17%
7%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
RES
0 - 3
LDA
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MOT
1 - 2
RES
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
JAG
2 - 2
RES
17%
26%
57%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
CSH
1 - 1
RES
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |