LD Alajuelense vs Pérez Zeledón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
11.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
1º
4º
3º
12
2º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
14 | 39 |
1º
|
29% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 38 |
2º
|
15% | |
|
|
2º
|
12 | 37 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 36 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 35 |
5º
|
7.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 30 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 28 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 28 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 28 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 26 |
10º
|
18% | |
|
|
3º
|
12 | 25 |
11º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 14 |
12º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
69.5% | 4.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
30.5% | 95.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
MUN
1 - 3
LDA
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
LDA
6 - 3
SAN
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
LDA
2 - 1
CSH
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2024 |
CSH
2 - 0
LDA
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2024 |
LDA
2 - 2
CSH
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Pérez Zeledón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
GUA
0 - 1
PER
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2025 |
PER
1 - 0
SAN
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
SAP
0 - 0
PER
72%
17%
10%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
PER
1 - 1
SPO
29%
27%
44%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
PER
0 - 1
MUN
28%
25%
47%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |