Apertura Costa Rica Gran Final Final
Global 2-2
LD Alajuelense vs CS Herediano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
CSH
1 - 0
LDA
38%
26%
36%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
LDA
0 - 0
CSH
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2019 |
CSH
2 - 0
LDA
33%
26%
42%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
LDA
3 - 0
SAN
64%
21%
16%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 0
LDA
28%
25%
47%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
CS Herediano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
CSH
1 - 0
LDA
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
LDA
0 - 0
CSH
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2019 |
CSH
2 - 0
LDA
33%
26%
42%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
SAP
1 - 1
CSH
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
CSH
1 - 1
SAP
39%
26%
36%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -2 |