LD Alajuelense vs Guanacasteca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
13.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
LDA
1 - 2
SPO
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MUN
3 - 3
LDA
19%
25%
56%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LDA
4 - 0
SAN
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
GUA
3 - 2
LDA
23%
27%
51%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
LDA
2 - 0
PFC
71%
19%
11%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Guanacasteca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 1
GUA
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
SAP
4 - 0
GUA
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 2
CSC
27%
26%
47%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
GUA
3 - 2
LDA
23%
27%
51%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
MUN
0 - 1
GUA
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |