Costa Rica Cup Last 16
Global 3-1
LD Alajuelense vs Guanacasteca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
8.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2022 |
LDA
2 - 2
OLI
42%
25%
33%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
OLI
3 - 2
LDA
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SAP
2 - 0
LDA
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
LDA
2 - 2
RES
49%
24%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
LDA
0 - 0
SAP
47%
26%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Guanacasteca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 1
CSC
15%
22%
63%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
SAP
1 - 0
GUA
80%
14%
6%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 1
PFC
19%
26%
55%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
GRE
4 - 1
GUA
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 2
PER
29%
28%
44%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |