LD Alajuelense vs Guadalupe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
3º
2º
17
8º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
PFC
1 - 0
LDA
25%
27%
49%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
LDA
3 - 2
CSC
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
LDA
5 - 0
GRE
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CSH
0 - 4
LDA
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
LDA
2 - 1
PER
71%
19%
11%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Guadalupe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 3
SAN
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 1
PER
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 0
GUA
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 1
GUA
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
GRE
3 - 4
GUA
47%
26%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |