LD Alajuelense vs Municipal Grecia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 4
LDA
21%
24%
55%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
GRE
2 - 3
LDA
26%
25%
49%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2020 |
LDA
2 - 1
SAN
70%
19%
12%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
CSH
1 - 2
LDA
49%
24%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
LDA
0 - 1
GUA
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Municipal Grecia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
GRE
0 - 1
GUA
43%
26%
32%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
GRE
2 - 3
LDA
26%
25%
49%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 0
GRE
48%
25%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 1
GRE
40%
25%
35%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
GRE
3 - 1
PER
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |