LD Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
30.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
4º
3º
18
3º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
21 | 42 |
1º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
18 | 41 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
19 | 41 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 37 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 37 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 35 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 29 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 29 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 21 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 21 |
10º
|
29.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 15 |
11º
|
30.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 15 |
12º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
79% | 83% |
|
Mid-table
|
21% | 17% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 0
LDA
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
LDA
2 - 1
PER
75%
17%
8%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
CSC
0 - 1
LDA
35%
26%
39%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
LDA
1 - 1
SAN
72%
18%
10%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
MUN
1 - 2
LDA
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Saprissa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SAP
1 - 0
CSC
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 3
SAP
20%
25%
55%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
CSH
2 - 0
SAP
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
SAP
2 - 2
MUN
63%
21%
17%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
PFC
2 - 3
SAP
19%
25%
56%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |