LD Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
31.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CSC
1 - 1
LDA
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
LDA
2 - 0
GRE
79%
15%
7%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SAP
1 - 0
LDA
49%
24%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
LDA
1 - 0
CSH
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 1
LDA
25%
25%
50%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Saprissa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SAP
4 - 0
PER
83%
13%
5%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
MUN
1 - 2
SAP
22%
26%
52%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SAP
1 - 0
LDA
49%
24%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SAP
2 - 1
SAN
72%
18%
11%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CSC
0 - 4
SAP
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |