Apertura Costa Rica Semi-finals
Global 1-2
LD Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
SAP
2 - 1
LDA
52%
22%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
LDA
1 - 0
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 2
LDA
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
LDA
3 - 0
PER
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2021 |
LDA
1 - 0
GUA
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Saprissa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
SAP
2 - 1
LDA
52%
22%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2021 |
CSH
1 - 0
SAP
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2021 |
SAP
3 - 0
CSH
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 0
SAP
18%
26%
56%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
SAP
3 - 0
SAN
63%
20%
17%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |