LD Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
32.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 0
LDA
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
LDA
2 - 1
UNI
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 0
LDA
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
BFC
0 - 0
LDA
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
LDA
2 - 1
RAM
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Saprissa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
PRI
1 - 1
SAP
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
SAP
0 - 0
CSC
54%
25%
22%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2009 |
SAP
0 - 1
COC
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
CSH
1 - 1
SAP
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
SAP
3 - 1
PRI
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |