LD Alajuelense vs Carmelita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
CSC
2 - 3
LDA
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
LDA
1 - 2
PER
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
GRE
1 - 4
LDA
33%
26%
41%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
LDA
0 - 1
ARA
63%
21%
17%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
OLI
2 - 0
LDA
51%
23%
26%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Carmelita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
ADC
2 - 1
LFC
35%
26%
39%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
ADC
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
ADC
1 - 1
CSC
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2018 |
LDA
4 - 2
ADC
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
ADC
4 - 0
GRE
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |